🌱 Spring — Accumulation
Sectors: Steel, Banks, Instruments
5-week deltas firming, early 13-week strength, not yet the darlings. Value hunters are showing up quietly.
Read: Early cyclical recovery. Banks perking up on rate-cut chatter fits the “Spring thaw.”
What to do: Start positions in quality names; add on pullbacks. Defined risk, staggered entries.
Trend shifts to watch:
- Steel → Summer bias if acceleration holds; if RT > 1.05 next week, treat it as a green shoot turning into a stem.
- Bank → Solidifying Spring footing after a flat month; accumulation looks real, not rumor.
☀️ Summer — Growth/Momentum
Sectors: Electronic, Drug
Strong 13-week follow-through; 5-week deltas still solid. Electronic up ~21% over 13 weeks suggests sustained institutional sponsorship.
Read: Momentum leaders. Great to ride—just don’t marry them.
What to do: Ride trends with tight stops. If volatility picks up, consider partial covered calls to get paid while you hold.
Trend shift to note:
- Drug → Autumn bias. Powerful run, but speed is fading. Respect the cooldown.
🍂 Autumn — Harvest/Quality
Sectors: Healthcare, Energy
13-week still positive; 5-week flattening. That’s deceleration—aka whispering “book some gains.”
Read: Quality defensives that still pay you.
What to do: Trim on strength, keep the dividend engines, recycle proceeds into Spring names.
❄️ Winter — Defend/Slowdown
Sectors: Utilities, REITs, Insurance, Food
5-week is lagging, 13-week weak/negative.
Read: These only wake up when fear spikes.
What to do: Underweight. Keep as “thermal underwear,” not your party outfit.
Global equities hold near highs as inflation remains contained, but earnings momentum shows signs of fatigue.
The Map This Week: Markets are acting like seasoned hikers: still climbing, breathing a bit heavier. Inflation is behaving, central banks are edging toward...